• Dave Fiorella

The 2020 FFIC Draft Stats

Updated: Apr 26, 2021

With the NFL season quickly approaching we have finally finished up all 11 of our drafts for the upcoming season. A big thank you goes out to all of our members for giving up their time to participate in these drafts. As I did last year, I took the time to put together some stat info for this year's competition in an effort to get people excited for the upcoming competition! This year, in addition to the individual team pages, I've also taken the time to put together a look at how all the teams compare for each league by graphing out statistical categories that are relevant for each of the 11 leagues.


Let's start by taking a look at our three email drafts...

In our Dynasty league (top right) I have graphed out how each of the teams compares at each position. You can easily see where each teams' strengths lie and which teams have the best overall value in the league. Next up we have our IDP league (bottom left). Instead of considering the offensive positions, we instead are taking a look at the most important factor in IDP success; snap counts. Scoring for IDP players is often tied heavily into tackle production, but can also come from big scoring plays such as interceptions and sacks. These things are all fairly unstable to track and therefore the best indicator of success at an IDP position is often tied to snap count. The longer that a player is on the field, the more opportunity they have to make a play. In BestBall (bottom right) we take a look at the scoring ranges for each position. Since BestBall leagues automatically set starters based on the highest points scored that week, it is important to consider the scoring potential of each player (often referred to as a player's ceiling). This graph indicates a projected floor (the low end of a player's scoring potential) and ceiling for each position in order to illustrate a potential scoring range for each team.


Next let's get into our first day of live drafts...

The first draft of the day was our Guillotine league (top left). In this league teams are eliminated each week if they put up the lowest points. I considered creating this with a projected points average per week, but felt that wouldn't balance quite right so I decided we'd just take a look at Week 1. Losing in the first week of an elimination league is brutal since you're already starting out the competition with a 12th place spot that you'll need to make up for. The next draft was our Keeper league (top right) where the most important thing is the relative long-term value of a player in comparison to the round they have been drafted. If you manage to draft a star player in a late round you gain a significant advantage on your opponents year after year. In this graph we can compare the player values for each team based on the draft pick they will have to give up in 2021 if they keep a player.

OmegaFlex (bottom left) is an interesting league where there are no specific starting positions and instead each starter is a flex position. This means that the most important thing for players is overall points scored since you no longer need to worry about positional scarcity. This graph illustrates the total projected points for each team using this scoring system. Our final draft was Traditional (bottom right) so this graph simply illustrates the strength of each team by position.


Finally we have our second live draft day...

Our first draft on Day 2 was Auction (top left) where players are given $200 and bid against one another in order to build a fantasy team. This graph illustrates how each Manager valued the different positions by showing how they decided to budget their money. The second draft was TD Only (top right) where offensive players only score points for touchdowns. When you don't consider things such as yardage in offensive scoring, all that matters is opportunity and most specifically the opportunity a player has to score. A player breaking off a large play is something that is hard to predict, but what is a good indicator into the likelihood of a player scoring a touchdown is redzone usage. This graph compares the redzone opportunity for each team through passes (QB), rushes (RB), and receiving (WR & TE). Obviously, this is a bit simplified as there will be chances for a QB to run in a touchdown and/or a RB to catch a passing touchdown, but it was a clearer picture to apply these opportunities specific to the typical role of each position.

The next draft was PPFD (bottom left) where players score for achieving a rushing/receiving first down. While this is also a hard statistic to predict, you can get an idea of a player's potential to regularly obtain first downs based on Yards Per Carry (YPC) and aDoT (Average Depth of Target). If a player is regularly pushing 10 yards on every rush then they are lucky to get a first down every time they have a rushing attempt. Likewise, if a player is usually targeted beyond 10 yards they have increased value in this format. Our final draft was Thievery (bottom right) where the losing team each week can have a player stolen by their opponent. We could again take a look at weekly projections for this league, but that will change significantly after just the first week. Instead I decided to map out each team's strengths as indicated by the bars on the top of the graph (and therefore positions vulnerable to being stolen) and weaknesses as indicated by the bars on the bottom of the graph (dictating what positions they will likely want to target in a win).


Our individual team pages also got a new look this season with some added graphics, new coloring, and additional stat info for each participant in this year's competition. Here's an example of how those turned out...

For our participants you can find your own team stat page on our Discord server and for those non-participants who may be interested I posted a thread with all the team pages on our Twitter.

Once again a big thanks goes out to all our teams this year and best of luck in this upcoming season!

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